Vikatan Election Survey: Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026

The Tamil Nadu Assembly elections are set for April 18, 2026. The political landscape is shifting as new forces emerge. The Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) currently holds power and is projected to retain it, according to the latest Vikatan election survey.

The survey indicates that DMK is expected to secure 121 seats in the 234-member assembly. This projection reflects a strong support base, attributed to its welfare-oriented governance model and stable leadership under M. K. Stalin.

However, Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is emerging as a notable contender. The survey suggests TVK may win around 3 seats, marking its entry into Tamil Nadu’s competitive political arena. This shift could alter electoral dynamics significantly.

Yet, despite 62% of respondents desiring regime change, the DMK maintains an advantage due to its organizational strength and recent vote consolidation efforts. The AIADMK alliance is projected to secure approximately 83 seats, indicating a decline from previous performances.

The survey covered 93,600 voters across all constituencies, providing a comprehensive view of voter sentiment. With over 5.67 crore voters in Tamil Nadu, including about 12.5 lakh first-time voters, these elections could see varied turnout rates and preferences.

Details remain unconfirmed regarding last-minute shifts in voter sentiment or emerging political alliances that could impact the final outcome. Tamil Nadu’s electoral politics is entering a new phase where clear majorities can no longer be taken for granted.

This evolving scenario matters for all involved parties as they strategize for the upcoming elections. The rise of new contenders like TVK adds complexity to an already competitive environment.